MORGANVIII
0xdda324ae44f9605aaacf217494691804ab44d55f
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 1,356
- Open portfolio
- $447.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,356
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar · Francisco Comesana | 0.350 | 0.895 | $447.50 | +$272.50 |
| Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Grêmio Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs · Isurus | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.5kat 0.174Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$3.5kat 0.352Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.5kat 0.300AS Roma leading at halftime?
- +$1.9kat 0.050Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$1.4kat 0.060Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:29 | Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar | BUY | 0.35 | $74.30 |
| 09-23 01:56 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever | SELL | 0.005783018 | $17.93 |
| 09-22 20:40 | Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Just Players (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.081 | $2.49 |
| 09-22 20:29 | San Diego 2: Evan Zhu vs Henry Searle | BUY | 0.9129462175 | $7.3k |
| 09-22 05:08 | Korea Open: Taylah Preston vs Himeno Sakatsume | BUY | 0.96 | $680.98 |
| 09-22 04:07 | Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.126738 | $63.37 |
| 09-21 18:25 | Tolentino: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.39 | $195.00 |
| 09-21 03:30 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.27 | $1.4k |
| 09-21 03:15 | Colts vs. Chiefs | SELL | 0.38 | $760.00 |
| 09-21 02:49 | Colts vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.26 | $520.00 |
| 09-20 21:26 | Dolphins vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.074934085 | $299.74 |
| 09-20 20:03 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.54 | $539.99 |
| 09-20 18:58 | Saints vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 09-20 16:02 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 09-17 23:06 | Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $2.1k |