Binotto
0xdd9ed02bb67b2ec504be24b98febd651fdac49b3
- Realised P&L
- $142.3k
- Volume
- $25.51M
- Markets traded
- 1,245
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,245
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.4kat 0.060Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$82.8kat 0.031Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$51.1kat 0.031Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$40.5kat 0.550Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$15.2kat 0.011Will Danielle Martin win the by-election for the seat of University—Rosedale in the House of Commons of Canada?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 04:00 | Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.96 |
| 08-27 20:55 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0220234116 | $2.2k |
| 08-27 20:54 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0301161832 | $4.3k |
| 08-27 20:53 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.041948852 | $1.8k |
| 08-21 19:13 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.39 | $35.96 |
| 08-21 13:30 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.4364171625 | $27.87 |
| 08-20 18:29 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.437 | $30.39 |
| 08-19 17:09 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $4.50 |
| 08-17 13:43 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $233.87 |
| 08-17 03:01 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $18.65 |
| 08-17 02:59 | Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.47 |
| 08-17 02:59 | Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.57 |
| 08-10 02:18 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.2747386439 | $66.29 |
| 08-10 01:59 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $84.85 |
| 08-10 01:51 | Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |