Rylee8955
0xdd9c20cfae73df72f61de4b211f0d18d4c100bee
- Realised P&L
- $-14.31
- Volume
- $34.4k
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $42.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $13.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $11.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $5.30 | −$0.00 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $1.70 | −$0.00 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $1.40 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.24at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on April 1?
- +$28.91at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 5?
- +$22.96at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on April 3?
- +$22.91at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 11?
- +$22.67at 0.751Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 10:50 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.70 |
| 08-27 23:03 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.40 |
| 08-24 09:04 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.20 |
| 08-11 04:46 | Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.30 |
| 07-28 22:54 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.80 |
| 07-23 17:10 | Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.9969999555 | $14.00 |
| 07-22 12:51 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 23:00 | Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 07-05 03:25 | Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.80 |
| 07-05 03:24 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.89 |
| 07-05 03:23 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $10.89 |
| 07-05 03:22 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.996 | $16.68 |
| 07-03 09:27 | Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.80 |
| 06-28 14:48 | Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 14:49 | Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.90 |