TexMexTRex
0xdd8e67a862bd81067891ad41e86e9673229ef023
- Realised P&L
- $-166.8k
- Volume
- $23.88M
- Markets traded
- 2,707
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,707
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.5k | +$13.00 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.983 | $408.43 | +$2.60 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.755 | $286.90 | −$47.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.2kat 0.857Maduro out in 2025?
- +$26.9kat 0.691Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
- +$16.5kat 0.675Miami Open: Iva Jovic vs Talia Gibson
- +$16.5kat 0.814Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
- +$15.5kat 0.615Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 01:11 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.5k |
| 10-16 17:27 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.8833202405 | $4.0k |
| 10-16 17:23 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.9762368535 | $405.82 |
| 09-25 19:30 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.88 | $334.40 |
| 09-11 14:39 | Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.9805358434 | $92.19 |
| 09-11 13:51 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $418.00 |
| 09-11 13:40 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.1817791411 | $29.63 |
| 09-11 13:38 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7492316432 | $52.75 |
| 09-11 13:34 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.56 | $35.84 |
| 09-11 13:33 | Spread: Canada (-2.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $3.12 |
| 09-11 12:23 | Spread: Canada (-2.5) | BUY | 0.7 | $1.95 |
| 09-11 12:22 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6761511484 | $158.09 |
| 09-11 12:21 | Tanzania vs. Canada: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5192093016 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 03:04 | US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | SELL | 0.79 | $1.3k |
| 09-11 02:53 | US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $1000.00 |