0xdd8aAb57fBC9B42fD41Fc61893184a64C80FF071-1769964638801
0xdd8aab57fbc9b42fd41fc61893184a64c80ff071
- Realised P&L
- $-527.29
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $49.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.70at 0.253Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
- +$72.31at 0.276Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
- +$61.10at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$50.26at 0.286Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
- +$48.51at 0.174Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 19:05 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.35 | $42.91 |
| 10-16 02:39 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.48 |
| 10-16 00:36 | Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999974 | $19.32 |
| 09-15 04:59 | Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.3899999988 | $28.77 |
| 09-15 04:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999996 | $14.00 |
| 07-17 03:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999976 | $72.19 |
| 07-17 03:08 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.583 | $35.12 |
| 07-14 04:24 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974999802 | $12.00 |
| 07-10 18:19 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2549999901 | $14.00 |
| 07-10 18:18 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3549999901 | $14.00 |
| 07-10 18:17 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2674999891 | $14.00 |
| 07-09 18:27 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2524999926 | $19.00 |
| 07-07 15:52 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1399999929 | $14.54 |
| 07-05 23:55 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999816 | $7.87 |
| 07-05 23:54 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |