Dd8Aa6940ef0b95B2ae32981dFA0ff7caF8dedf9
0xdd8aa6940ef0b95b2ae32981dfa0ff7caf8dedf9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $599.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,313
- Open portfolio
- $114.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,313
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$991.45at 0.710Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$364.16at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
- +$361.79at 0.269Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?
- +$358.21at 0.785Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$300.13at 0.366Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-04 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 100°F or higher on October 5? | SELL | 0.9627873303 | $21.28 |
| 10-03 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.43 |
| 10-03 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.955 | $28.19 |
| 10-03 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-03 10:31 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.88 | $11.44 |
| 10-03 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4? | SELL | 0.9558581706 | $18.60 |
| 10-03 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.9791529412 | $32.46 |
| 10-03 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.991 | $5.54 |
| 10-03 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.98 | $16.83 |
| 10-03 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-03 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.938 | $15.72 |
| 10-03 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.98156893 | $19.08 |
| 10-03 02:53 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.959 | $31.79 |
| 10-02 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.989 | $16.67 |