thechainsmokers
0xdd8184551f4b3fca3fc780d4d1c6342d7c2d9640
- Realised P&L
- $58.9k
- Volume
- $4.16M
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.080 | $4.2k | −$4.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.7kat 0.870Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$44.0kat 0.600Nuggets vs. Mavericks
- +$20.1kat 0.810Pacers vs. Raptors
- +$12.6kat 0.585Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$11.8kat 0.810Lakers vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 17:31 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.087 | $46.43 |
| 08-22 05:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.083 | $154.63 |
| 08-20 16:50 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.087 | $87.00 |
| 05-09 20:31 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.81 | $20.5k |
| 05-08 18:09 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $246.25 |
| 05-08 06:49 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.83 | $19.0k |
| 05-08 00:48 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.83 | $82.6k |
| 05-08 00:46 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.83 | $34.6k |
| 05-06 08:05 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.81 | $1.2k |
| 05-06 02:15 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.2k |
| 05-06 02:14 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.1k |
| 05-06 01:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.17 | $95.82 |
| 05-04 12:42 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.172 | $1.6k |
| 05-04 12:39 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.8k |
| 05-03 19:29 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.176 | $25.25 |