PolyBot

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Traders

thechainsmokers

0xdd8184551f4b3fca3fc780d4d1c6342d7c2d9640

Realised P&L
$58.9k
Volume
$4.16M
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1690.080$4.2k$4.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 17:31Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.087$46.43
08-22 05:15Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.083$154.63
08-20 16:50Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.087$87.00
05-09 20:31UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$20.5k
05-08 18:09UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.8199999995$246.25
05-08 06:49UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.83$19.0k
05-08 00:48UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.83$82.6k
05-08 00:46UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.83$34.6k
05-06 08:05UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.81$1.2k
05-06 02:15Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.81$4.2k
05-06 02:14Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.82$8.1k
05-06 01:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.17$95.82
05-04 12:42Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.172$1.6k
05-04 12:39Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.56$2.8k
05-03 19:29Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.176$25.25