PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

f1men

0xdd7e6fc26ee7b0c7260c19a8d2959295eccf1732

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$221.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-26.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4530.464$102.43+$2.32
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5850.519$88.83−$11.20
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes0.2360.205$30.41−$4.59
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.7260.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$26.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$22.27
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3360.000$0.00−$194.68
Will England win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$59.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:15Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?BUY0.2359616838$35.00
10-05 20:54Will France win on 2026-10-05?SELL0.999$99.90
10-05 19:22Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.36$36.00
10-04 10:22Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?SELL0.001$0.17
10-04 09:55Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.15$15.00
10-04 09:55Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-04 09:53Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?SELL0.0112734337$1.61
10-04 09:52Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?SELL0.961$47.26
10-03 22:18Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.2099999998$30.00
10-03 22:17Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?BUY0.6099999984$30.00
10-03 20:56UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)SELL0.999$162.25
10-03 20:50UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.6431540832$70.00
10-02 21:05UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5599999955$30.00
10-01 08:17Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.453$93.40
10-01 08:16Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.585$30.62