andersoncolton
0xdd7ab7094362606e910acc918eb4a86ca3499cc6
- Realised P&L
- $-70.65
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $13.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.465 | $13.92 | −$3.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.97at 0.954Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$4.86at 0.870Will CDU win at least 26% of all valid second votes?
- +$1.87at 0.982Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$1.75at 0.984Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.38at 0.987Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:33 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.984 | $7.56 |
| 01-30 16:18 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.98 |
| 01-30 15:04 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.95 |
| 01-30 14:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999557 | $14.35 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.02 |
| 12-30 13:26 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.997999815 | $4.77 |
| 12-30 10:35 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999984 | $25.10 |
| 12-29 23:57 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.78 |
| 12-29 21:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999598 | $20.75 |
| 10-31 00:36 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.77 |
| 10-30 22:43 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.65 |
| 10-30 20:58 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.02 |
| 10-08 00:50 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $15.37 |
| 09-29 09:54 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.8819999967 | $16.53 |
| 09-29 05:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9979999867 | $18.90 |