0xdd704b471041b806b65d04a3b48f5aa953811d06
0xdd704b471041b806b65d04a3b48f5aa953811d06
- Realised P&L
- $205.58
- Volume
- $26.6k
- Markets traded
- 540
- Open portfolio
- $449.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded540
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.90at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$67.21at 0.742Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$53.58at 0.849Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
- +$50.24at 0.492LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$47.69at 0.863US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.0383118747 | $2.87 |
| 10-10 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.77 |
| 10-10 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9199999966 | $10.68 |
| 10-10 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.37 |
| 10-10 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.80 |
| 10-10 07:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.13 |
| 10-10 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.15 |
| 10-10 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.54 |
| 10-10 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $73.80 |
| 10-10 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $19.99 |
| 10-10 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 10-10 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.01 |
| 10-10 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4033333333 | $6.05 |
| 10-10 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.05 |
| 10-10 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4887229588 | $14.01 |