0xdd677d171ce75954e1d554928a7a5a96986ed921
0xdd677d171ce75954e1d554928a7a5a96986ed921
- Realised P&L
- $1.27
- Volume
- $177.98
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $3.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · No | 0.210 | 0.270 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.375 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.085 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.037 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.35at 0.230Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$3.29at 0.289Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$2.73at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.60at 0.339Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:51 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:50 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:45 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:18 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:13 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:23 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:35 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:26 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:49 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |