0xDd5a47E37C87F09CD8B026238a5B7B34361115a1-1765736006297
0xdd5a47e37c87f09cd8b026238a5b7b34361115a1
- Realised P&L
- $356.28
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $120.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar29.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.683 | 0.550 | $120.77 | −$29.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.36at 0.115Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$62.24at 0.452Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$22.76at 0.815Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$22.06at 0.885Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$15.01at 0.600Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8799999992 | $169.24 |
| 09-13 22:33 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $123.33 |
| 09-13 20:00 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 15:03 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 14:48 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6831396567 | $150.00 |
| 06-28 23:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.111999997 | $32.19 |
| 06-28 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 23:37 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9841280082 | $38.44 |
| 12-14 18:21 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $23.44 |