0xdd59AAAF77Cd1D50Ec11cf24217C8EcD29c4471E-1790820055472
0xdd59aaaf77cd1d50ec11cf24217c8ecd29c4471e
- Realised P&L
- $12.22
- Volume
- $228.11
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $44.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 1?
- +$6.75at 0.446Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?
- +$5.51at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?
- +$3.35at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 1?
- +$1.18at 0.430Will the Chiefs win the season series against the Broncos during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9889999986 | $4.98 |
| 10-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-01 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.20 |
| 10-01 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-01 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9779999972 | $4.93 |
| 10-01 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $7.63 |
| 10-01 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.47 | $3.59 |
| 10-01 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.00 |
| 10-01 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.98 |
| 10-01 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 10-01 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 10-01 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.9789999978 | $4.98 |
| 10-01 09:25 | Will the season series between the Broncos and Chiefs end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |