PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdd59AAAF77Cd1D50Ec11cf24217C8EcD29c4471E-1790820055472

0xdd59aaaf77cd1d50ec11cf24217c8ecd29c4471e

Realised P&L
$12.22
Volume
$228.11
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$44.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 17:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.9889999986$4.98
10-01 17:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.999$5.00
10-01 17:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 1?BUY0.94$4.70
10-01 17:09Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 1?BUY0.82$4.20
10-01 14:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.43$2.15
10-01 14:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1?BUY0.9779999972$4.93
10-01 14:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1?BUY0.995$7.63
10-01 14:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.47$3.59
10-01 14:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.997$9.00
10-01 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on October 1?BUY0.995$4.98
10-01 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 1?BUY0.999$5.00
10-01 14:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.65$3.25
10-01 13:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 1?SELL0.999$2.70
10-01 09:49Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.9789999978$4.98
10-01 09:25Will the season series between the Broncos and Chiefs end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.55$2.75