0xdd583967c68307dd1167c6fa362172f6231fcaec
0xdd583967c68307dd1167c6fa362172f6231fcaec
- Realised P&L
- $-42.58
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $153.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.240 | $116.27 | −$19.87 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.235 | $31.01 | +$3.30 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.029 | $3.84 | −$21.74 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.045 | $2.13 | −$7.82 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.003 | $0.68 | −$2.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.00at 0.184Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NYC rally?
- +$-3.00at 0.016Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- +$-5.00at 0.011Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-7.00at 0.298Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$-9.95at 0.072Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 12:37 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $27.71 |
| 04-20 13:03 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.015 | $2.76 |
| 04-20 13:02 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.00 |
| 04-13 08:45 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.0152080618 | $15.63 |
| 04-13 08:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999953 | $25.58 |
| 04-10 15:54 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.1843657817 | $2.00 |
| 04-10 15:53 | Will Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally? | BUY | 0.0716110691 | $9.95 |
| 04-10 15:51 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.209999985 | $9.95 |
| 04-10 15:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | BUY | 0.289999971 | $6.60 |
| 04-10 15:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 15:32 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | BUY | 0.2810146375 | $136.14 |