chaleg
0xdd51a65419263454c734e03a8445932f4791d759
- Realised P&L
- $-113.58
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.12at 0.013Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 25?
- +$9.05at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 15?
- +$7.41at 0.592Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 13?
- +$3.45at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 5?
- +$3.01at 0.870Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8244996637 | $14.99 |
| 09-15 18:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.97 | $15.00 |
| 08-23 07:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -2°C or below on August 23? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-22 19:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.99 |
| 08-22 09:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.9899999425 | $14.99 |
| 08-22 09:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -2°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.99 |
| 08-22 07:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be -3°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $14.99 |
| 08-21 18:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $14.99 |
| 08-21 16:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 08-21 13:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.9760956056 | $15.00 |
| 08-21 01:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.99 |
| 08-20 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $6.15 |
| 08-20 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.99 |
| 08-19 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.9859999993 | $14.99 |
| 08-19 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.13 |