PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Miguelprado

0xdd4bb791094fba6287360855d5aa744e74c93568

Realised P&L
$-884.62
Volume
$46.3k
Markets traded
639
Open portfolio
$159.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded639
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5740.845$125.40+$40.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.4800.475$14.84−$0.16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6860.185$12.14−$32.87
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.3300.380$5.76+$0.76
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · No0.6000.585$0.97−$0.02
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5 · Over0.7600.000$0.00−$3.00
United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.6400.000$0.00−$2.00
Argentina to win the second half? · Yes0.5760.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.7660.000$0.00−$34.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4990.000$0.00−$7.30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$7.00
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00−$20.00
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 12:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-06 12:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.48$15.00
10-05 11:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.844$15.49
10-04 21:46Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?SELL0.91$36.38
10-04 21:42Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.85$6.85
10-04 21:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8546622691$19.44
10-04 21:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9$24.32
10-04 21:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.807$48.31
10-04 02:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-03 23:31Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.650999962$10.00
10-02 13:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5589999955$50.00
10-02 10:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5849999789$10.00
10-01 10:44Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-01 10:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.628999968$5.00
09-30 22:22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6199999628$5.00