PolyBot

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Traders

lisbongg

0xdd44c2b946a4cb9b1a63583bf5799ada4be82c0e

Realised P&L
$-486.23
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$123.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.035$69.00$111.00
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.027$54.00$146.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-09 09:22Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.003$8.17
04-08 05:06Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.0719601023$30.00
04-07 12:38Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.082$3.46
04-07 12:37Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.081$6.49
04-07 09:20Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.0809999926$10.00
04-07 09:12Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.0809999926$10.00
04-07 09:10Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.0807577197$10.00
04-07 09:09Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.0830154919$50.00
04-07 08:56Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.058$1.20
03-19 00:29Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.001$0.60
02-04 09:49Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.1136963335$10.00
10-22 03:53Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$3.80
10-22 03:51Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$59.09