jorgenjoy
0xdd3f1b38ab90d7de57919a050d0e990cb389e1ee
- Realised P&L
- $-190.23
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$481.83at 0.500US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$346.85at 0.200Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$283.04at 0.665Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$235.76at 0.299Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$99.62at 0.300Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 00:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $450.00 |
| 07-14 02:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $42.69 |
| 07-10 03:51 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999898 | $13.56 |
| 06-30 13:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $198.47 |
| 06-30 07:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $37.70 |
| 06-30 07:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $527.80 |
| 06-28 02:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2369999456 | $2.46 |
| 06-26 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.88 |
| 06-26 05:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999998 | $953.73 |
| 06-24 00:21 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.58 |
| 06-24 00:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1919999805 | $6.71 |
| 06-24 00:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1919999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 04:32 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999192 | $2.00 |
| 06-07 04:31 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1009999556 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 05:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.437953494 | $951.50 |