PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jorgenjoy

0xdd3f1b38ab90d7de57919a050d0e990cb389e1ee

Realised P&L
$-190.23
Volume
$77.1k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2620.041$592.20−$3.2k
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5090.085$340.13−$1.7k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3530.029$255.58−$2.9k
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1550.021$242.82−$1.5k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3900.125$2.38−$5.04
Celtics vs. Heat · Heat0.7400.000$0.00−$5.90
Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs0.2750.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$13.56
Nuggets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.6290.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.4870.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00−$6.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.5580.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$22.00
Thunder vs. Raptors · Raptors0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 00:16Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$450.00
07-14 02:46Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.389$42.69
07-10 03:51Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999898$13.56
06-30 13:09Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$198.47
06-30 07:31Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$37.70
06-30 07:30Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$527.80
06-28 02:48Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2369999456$2.46
06-26 17:53Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3$10.88
06-26 05:28Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999998$953.73
06-24 00:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$1.58
06-24 00:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1919999805$6.71
06-24 00:19Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1919999857$10.00
06-07 04:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1619999192$2.00
06-07 04:31Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1009999556$2.00
06-02 05:00Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.437953494$951.50