0xDd3Cb7b503115752bAEf62AA840CF87F7d0FA088-1786137344670
0xdd3cb7b503115752baef62aa840cf87f7d0fa088
- Realised P&L
- $6.76
- Volume
- $550.18
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $71.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.625 | $19.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.348 | 0.431 | $18.60 | +$3.60 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.607 | 0.557 | $18.37 | −$1.63 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.660 | 0.675 | $10.13 | +$0.23 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.355 | $3.16 | −$0.84 |
| Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.130 | $1.30 | −$0.10 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.015 | $0.65 | −$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.659Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$4.75at 0.895Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$1.44at 0.412Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
- +$0.63at 0.502Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner
- +$-0.12at 0.532Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:42 | Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 21:31 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 09-22 15:49 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.82 | $1.67 |
| 09-22 15:48 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:40 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | SELL | 0.2 | $1.02 |
| 09-22 15:16 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.44 | $2.24 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | SELL | 0.54 | $6.75 |
| 09-22 14:04 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:12 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:04 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.85 | $8.48 |
| 09-22 12:08 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 12:04 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-22 12:02 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 11:58 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-22 11:44 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |