PolyBot

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Traders

Jortiz0412

0xdd3bc77df51b2687f4404a4b8f63350ae404f02e

Realised P&L
$-32.32
Volume
$23.9k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$1.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election? · Yes0.6500.485$1.49−$0.51
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$4.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$21.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4020.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$4.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026? · No0.1450.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0940.000$0.00−$5.00
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No0.0370.000$0.00−$2.00
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026? · No0.1320.000$0.00−$11.00
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$4.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 17:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7799999688$3.00
10-21 17:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7729999778$3.00
10-21 17:14Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?BUY0.649999805$2.00
10-13 14:20Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.0369182934$2.00
10-13 14:19Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
09-26 17:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5619999781$10.00
09-26 17:17Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
07-20 13:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
07-18 16:24Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 23, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
07-18 16:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 22, 2026?BUY0.92$1.00
07-18 16:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
07-18 16:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-18 16:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 19, 2026?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-18 16:19Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 18, 2026?BUY0.14999994$2.00
07-18 16:18Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.4426260504$8.43