danner
0xdd38291fd0bb2d4a704b06bbb985d4613f88f41b
- Realised P&L
- $-384.27
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $12.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.16at 0.190US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$81.43at 0.611Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
- +$36.00at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$15.35at 0.860Rainbow airdrop by September 30?
- +$6.60at 0.670Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 19:18 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.916 | $247.86 |
| 08-28 15:30 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5992087695 | $162.14 |
| 03-25 23:46 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.301953388 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 23:46 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 20:22 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0469999979 | $20.00 |
| 03-05 21:32 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.0911720231 | $25.00 |
| 03-05 21:32 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 02-28 19:26 | Khamenei seen in public by February 28? | BUY | 0.0435816124 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 01:19 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 01-10 21:43 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | BUY | 0.0822857107 | $20.00 |
| 01-10 08:25 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | BUY | 0.0297002105 | $200.00 |
| 01-07 15:54 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | BUY | 0.019 | $11.00 |
| 10-28 23:07 | Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 10-27 15:36 | Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | BUY | 0.149 | $6.29 |
| 10-27 15:35 | Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | BUY | 0.037 | $4.41 |