kaya4ever
0xdd2c09752bfa828c518eab914334851f189a709a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $385.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.011 | $2.9k | −$4.6k |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.131 | $1.4k | +$577.56 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.081 | $684.25 | −$1.1k |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.025 | $615.64 | −$337.15 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.009 | $356.92 | −$658.92 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.015 | $145.00 | −$196.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.220Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 10:50 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0171622772 | $250.00 |
| 03-03 10:47 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.932 | $3.4k |
| 12-21 21:43 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.22 | $796.31 |
| 11-05 15:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 11-05 15:47 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0196938472 | $851.09 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.026 | $312.00 |
| 09-28 13:08 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0257058096 | $281.30 |
| 09-16 14:03 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.034115964 | $341.16 |
| 09-16 14:02 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.03496 | $87.40 |
| 09-16 14:01 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.033882736 | $84.71 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0290015879 | $32.88 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.026793284 | $66.98 |
| 09-16 13:59 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.22 | $321.35 |
| 09-16 13:58 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0368389972 | $26.45 |