lin520
0xdd26b84d5bea2004b9f7fd911c015cb74535cf19
- Realised P&L
- $3.47
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 261
- Open portfolio
- $1.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded261
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.99at 0.659Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$19.02at 0.745Solana Up or Down - January 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$17.99at 0.745Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$17.92at 0.736Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$16.60at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.55 |
| 09-09 07:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.74 |
| 09-08 07:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.58 | $2.15 |
| 09-08 07:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:38 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 07:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.5799999156 | $1.10 |
| 09-08 07:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999663 | $1.20 |
| 08-10 08:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.94 |
| 08-07 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.17 |
| 08-06 13:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 13:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 08-06 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4599998411 | $1.10 |
| 07-21 08:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 07-18 07:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 18? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.47 |