Aubreydf
0xdd25f01fbd332d86eeaa2e428cd02448f469ec67
- Realised P&L
- $60.37
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $34.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 14? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $18.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $15.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.24 |
| Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.82 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.00at 0.500Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$54.25at 0.671Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B
- +$31.42at 0.500Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$22.91at 0.500Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
- +$20.14at 0.552Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:09 | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:08 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.996 | $422.57 |
| 10-13 09:08 | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 10-13 09:07 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $213.00 |
| 10-13 09:07 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.40 |
| 10-13 09:07 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.997 | $210.00 |
| 10-13 09:07 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $421.16 |
| 10-13 09:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:06 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $435.00 |
| 10-13 09:05 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $111.14 |
| 10-13 09:04 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $333.41 |
| 10-13 09:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 09:03 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $445.00 |
| 10-13 06:29 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B | BUY | 0.66 | $108.90 |
| 09-22 09:16 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.96 |