0xdd22fb0e71982d6793e9a22e47306c462eba2013
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $80.1k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $708.62
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? · No | 0.665 | 0.645 | $315.54 | −$9.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? · No | 0.658 | 0.675 | $144.82 | +$3.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6? · No | 0.719 | 0.805 | $118.57 | +$12.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.150 | $79.38 | −$6.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 6? · No | 0.541 | 0.525 | $54.34 | −$1.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 6? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.010 | $1.26 | −$4.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.98at 0.538Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 17?
- +$773.39at 0.284Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 24?
- +$650.97at 0.595Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?
- +$587.31at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 23?
- +$573.37at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1308538251 | $15.33 |
| 08-05 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6899999988 | $71.00 |
| 08-05 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.68 | $83.30 |
| 08-05 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6899999996 | $80.94 |
| 08-05 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1955117157 | $33.18 |
| 08-05 16:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $75.20 |
| 08-05 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.7186421494 | $105.85 |
| 08-05 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1699999946 | $23.94 |
| 08-05 14:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6149488055 | $90.09 |
| 08-05 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.6450856205 | $66.00 |
| 08-05 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.0476190476 | $6.00 |
| 08-05 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.1304922229 | $13.26 |
| 08-05 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.5410352387 | $56.00 |
| 08-03 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.7813807731 | $81.59 |
| 08-02 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.2705002854 | $84.00 |