0xdd22fb0e71982d6793e9a22e47306c462eba2013
- Realised P&L
- $10.4k
- Volume
- $168.5k
- Markets traded
- 477
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded477
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? · No | 0.454 | 0.530 | $887.09 | +$127.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.385 | $376.04 | +$51.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21? · No | 0.640 | 0.645 | $314.37 | +$2.37 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.135 | $105.95 | −$104.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 20? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $105.00 | +$63.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.555 | $70.62 | +$21.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$948.39at 0.192Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 16?
- +$762.56at 0.294Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 24?
- +$757.18at 0.549Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on September 5?
- +$754.22at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 17?
- +$709.63at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4278064239 | $72.16 |
| 09-21 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4588877341 | $55.46 |
| 09-21 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4776530383 | $50.88 |
| 09-21 10:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3573684334 | $66.23 |
| 09-21 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.48 | $99.00 |
| 09-21 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3957278481 | $50.02 |
| 09-21 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4677373518 | $51.68 |
| 09-21 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3116551264 | $37.36 |
| 09-21 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3965356067 | $53.96 |
| 09-21 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.27840909 | $63.00 |
| 09-21 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.40640625 | $52.02 |
| 09-21 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4694494659 | $57.13 |
| 09-21 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3189804019 | $33.60 |
| 09-21 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4374515648 | $67.51 |
| 09-21 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.17262139 | $21.76 |