TomX-897
0xdd21acef8116b9048019aead1dbde3f1819d1917
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $345.60
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.485 | $9.24 | +$1.24 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.96at 0.617Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October?
- +$8.96at 0.6702026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$8.06at 0.622Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-31?
- +$6.45at 0.758Will FC Zurich win on 2026-11-01?
- +$5.94at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $8.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $31.32 |
| 11-01 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999956 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 14:48 | Will FC Zurich win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7489999914 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 21:59 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.6099999831 | $13.00 |
| 10-31 20:41 | Lightning vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 13:48 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.57 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 13:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | SELL | 0.8367849483 | $214.59 |
| 10-30 21:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $153.87 |
| 10-30 16:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.71 | $158.95 |
| 10-30 16:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.085109687 | $10.36 |
| 10-29 21:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.739417522 | $90.00 |
| 10-29 21:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $150.00 |