Frick
0xdd1b90f903434ba42c0fd3e56b54209449a175d8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $542.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,629
- Open portfolio
- $142.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,629
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.143 | $84.67 | −$6.17 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $47.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.045 | $8.08 | −$22.44 |
| Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.057 | $1.83 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.470Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.2kat 0.2982024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$686.36at 0.179Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$495.09at 0.773Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
- +$397.50at 0.200Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 10.0% or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 02:31 | Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.4288742138 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 02:29 | Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.069 | $2.07 |
| 10-07 17:40 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $19.80 |
| 09-30 16:11 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 02:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 01:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.046 | $46.00 |
| 09-11 13:17 | Will Trump say "Terrorist" 5+ times during remarks at the Pentagon? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-03 19:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $15.93 |
| 09-02 20:23 | Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.05 |
| 08-24 14:55 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.73 |
| 08-24 14:53 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 08-24 14:52 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-24 14:50 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $10.50 |
| 08-23 18:59 | Will Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.49 |