0xdd1b8CADAE45B05d8F7c02Acb1966B4b2ca2ff31-1770848415209
0xdd1b8cadae45b05d8f7c02acb1966b4b2ca2ff31
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $96.9k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $150.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.109Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
- +$902.22at 0.180Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?
- +$830.31at 0.409Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?
- +$705.98at 0.035Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$613.66at 0.287Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:11 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.1670149254 | $11.19 |
| 07-29 18:49 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | SELL | 0.1699835796 | $1.04 |
| 07-27 21:51 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1732511356 | $26.70 |
| 07-23 11:40 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 07-23 11:29 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3744567006 | $84.19 |
| 07-23 11:28 | Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.75 |
| 07-22 22:13 | Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1055727978 | $2.31 |
| 07-22 12:20 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $22.43 |
| 07-22 12:20 | Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7691975606 | $95.86 |
| 07-21 13:07 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $67.08 |
| 07-21 12:56 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 07-19 18:06 | Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | SELL | 0.012656 | $0.63 |
| 07-18 18:35 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | SELL | 0.5374 | $53.74 |
| 07-18 15:46 | Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 07-18 14:23 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |