PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xdd1b8CADAE45B05d8F7c02Acb1966B4b2ca2ff31-1770848415209

0xdd1b8cadae45b05d8f7c02acb1966b4b2ca2ff31

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$96.9k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$150.17

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? · No0.7690.845$105.30+$9.45
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up0.2390.265$23.05+$2.27
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.1800.180$22.43+$0.00
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 17, 2026? · Yes0.2760.000$0.00$70.06
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? · No0.8470.000$0.00$27.99
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up0.4980.000$0.00$23.78
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00$84.19
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Up0.2710.000$0.00$18.97
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 17, 2026? · Yes0.1720.000$0.00$22.69
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$86.53
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 3, 2026? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$18.88
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 8? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.78
Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 10, 2026? · Yes0.3070.000$0.00$8.57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$6.94
Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on July 10, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:11Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.1670149254$11.19
07-29 18:49Trump approval Up or Down this week?SELL0.1699835796$1.04
07-27 21:51Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 31, 2026?BUY0.1732511356$26.70
07-23 11:40Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026?SELL0.35$35.00
07-23 11:29Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on July 24, 2026?BUY0.3744567006$84.19
07-23 11:28Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 24, 2026?SELL0.08$1.75
07-22 22:13Will Trump's approval rating be less than 39.0 on July 24, 2026?BUY0.1055727978$2.31
07-22 12:20Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?BUY0.18$22.43
07-22 12:20Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7691975606$95.86
07-21 13:07Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026?BUY0.39$67.08
07-21 12:56Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on July 24, 2026?BUY0.39$78.00
07-19 18:06Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?SELL0.012656$0.63
07-18 18:35Trump approval Up or Down this week?SELL0.5374$53.74
07-18 15:46Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?BUY0.71$35.50
07-18 14:23Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.49$49.00