0xdd1b8CADAE45B05d8F7c02Acb1966B4b2ca2ff31-1770848415209
0xdd1b8cadae45b05d8f7c02acb1966b4b2ca2ff31
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $115.9k
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $818.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.109Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
- +$895.72at 0.185Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?
- +$830.31at 0.409Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026?
- +$705.98at 0.035Trump approval Up or Down this week?
- +$613.66at 0.286Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:36 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.02 |
| 11-01 14:20 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $62.37 |
| 11-01 14:18 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.146 | $29.20 |
| 11-01 11:16 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.106533507 | $14.72 |
| 10-31 21:39 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.0 on November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $27.84 |
| 10-31 20:19 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 22:10 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $68.40 |
| 10-27 16:11 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $95.70 |
| 10-27 16:09 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3457179161 | $54.42 |
| 10-27 11:06 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-27 11:05 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $20.52 |
| 10-26 14:57 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $57.59 |
| 10-26 14:56 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-26 14:56 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 10-25 17:02 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 39.5 on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $36.40 |