Leopald
0xdd19b9ffd12619c7f8496f50a504ca95ac05c2b1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $451.68
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $1.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.972 | $1.08 | +$0.06 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.58 |
| Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of XRP be less than $1.70 on January 12? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 18? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sean McDermott be the next coach fired? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
| Will "Jujutsu Kaisen: Execution" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.54 |
| Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.56 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 2? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.85at 0.500Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?
- +$2.78at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 5?
- +$1.08at 0.500Will Anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 18?
- +$0.65at 0.500Will Sean McDermott be the next coach fired?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 16:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.996 | $6.94 |
| 10-04 16:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9973766363 | $8.00 |
| 10-04 16:22 | Will "Pink Clouding - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.94 |
| 10-04 16:20 | Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.9199999639 | $1.02 |
| 10-04 16:20 | Will "Pink Clouding - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 17:34 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.26 |
| 06-25 17:34 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.40 |
| 06-25 17:33 | Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.21 |
| 06-25 17:32 | Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 06-25 17:30 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.37 |
| 06-25 17:29 | Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.50 |
| 06-25 17:29 | Will Ben Johns be traded before the Major League Pickleball trade deadline? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 17:28 | Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 58m and 64m? | SELL | 0.994 | $6.90 |
| 06-25 17:28 | Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 58m and 64m? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 06-25 17:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on June 26? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.96 |