r6turtut76u
0xdd19b1243d33c3b68ba8f380ed57bd99d2933f54
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $15.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $721.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.459Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$1.2kat 0.487Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
- +$169.39at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?
- +$138.74at 0.510Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks
- +$103.43at 0.500Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 07:57 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $19.51 |
| 08-03 07:56 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27186 | $13.59 |
| 08-03 07:56 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $20.92 |
| 08-03 07:55 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $18.70 |
| 08-03 07:54 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.97 |
| 08-03 03:33 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3824448251 | $78.15 |
| 08-02 04:11 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 08-02 04:09 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $97.98 |
| 08-02 04:09 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $85.00 |
| 08-02 03:15 | Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 08-02 03:13 | Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.998 | $199.60 |
| 07-31 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $21.74 |
| 07-31 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $7.00 |