PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

podiums

0xdd0748a57f39f0ccbb87ce5223255b01902b0058

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$323.5k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.8001.000$761.00+$152.20
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7100.406$332.92−$249.99
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.9941.000$2.90+$0.02
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.940$0.94+$0.31
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.041$0.92−$7.49
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.090$0.27−$0.54
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0120.001$0.04−$0.97
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$95.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:50Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.19$1.90
04-13 16:09US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.45$405.90
04-13 15:43Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.57$282.15
04-13 13:56Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.58$287.10
04-13 13:17Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?BUY0.81$520.83
04-13 13:05US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.47$423.94
04-13 10:17Databricks IPO before 2027?SELL0.82$30.34
04-12 15:24Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?SELL0.1$47.20
04-11 18:51Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.88$204.16
04-11 18:19Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?SELL0.51$9.69
04-11 18:16Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.757$65.10
04-11 18:15Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.757$361.09
04-11 18:04Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?SELL0.9$495.90
04-11 14:58Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.89$206.48
04-10 19:43Will "AI" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.7$591.50