0xdcf8befc9ab0c7fe7418c89d4031abd3814b9a14
0xdcf8befc9ab0c7fe7418c89d4031abd3814b9a14
- Realised P&L
- $-10.25
- Volume
- $132.97
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $2.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.660 | $2.01 | −$0.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.17at 0.268S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$5.57at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.37at 0.480US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$1.40at 0.610Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
- +$1.25at 0.639Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 14:26 | Will BlackBerry say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7199999211 | $2.19 |
| 09-18 03:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 17:28 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.349999992 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 17:15 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599999638 | $2.19 |
| 09-16 07:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299999051 | $2.19 |
| 09-15 23:44 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999847 | $2.19 |
| 09-02 12:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.19 |
| 08-22 14:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.2299999223 | $2.19 |
| 08-16 13:30 | Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7899999531 | $2.19 |
| 08-09 23:48 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.19 |
| 08-09 07:14 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998195 | $2.19 |
| 08-08 20:52 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6599999578 | $2.19 |
| 08-08 12:41 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.7799999288 | $2.19 |
| 08-07 15:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999307 | $2.19 |
| 08-07 07:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7? | BUY | 0.4399999518 | $2.19 |