MazalsTov
0xdcf4f9c0f639058c07bc541594b8c2a2cbf8ed65
- Realised P&L
- $-262.41
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $12.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $7.0k | −$122.29 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.255 | $2.8k | −$45.43 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.345 | $2.3k | +$469.31 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.470 | 1.000 | $212.66 | +$112.66 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) · Titans | 0.530 | 0.991 | $168.20 | +$78.20 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Seahawks | 0.470 | 0.465 | $103.88 | −$1.12 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Chargers | 0.510 | 0.445 | $65.44 | −$9.56 |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.520 | 0.535 | $51.44 | +$1.44 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos | 0.520 | 0.615 | $40.21 | +$6.21 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.470 | 0.010 | $0.85 | −$39.15 |
| Spread: Browns (-2.5) · Titans | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.04 |
| Spread: 49ers (-13.5) · Dolphins | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.07 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) · Chargers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.80 |
| Spread: Broncos (-4.5) · Cardinals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Spread: Packers (-1.5) · Cowboys | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.60at 0.480Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
- +$276.96at 0.520Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
- +$249.10at 0.530Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
- +$96.86at 0.487Spread: Colts (-6.5)
- +$96.35at 0.487Spread: Panthers (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:12 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2591188044 | $2.9k |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.1k |
| 10-31 17:19 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5199999951 | $34.00 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Spread: Jets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $45.00 |
| 10-31 17:18 | Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 17:18 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $65.00 |
| 10-31 17:17 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $70.00 |
| 10-31 17:17 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $75.00 |
| 10-31 17:17 | Spread: Bengals (-13.5) | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $90.00 |
| 10-31 17:16 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 17:15 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999986 | $105.00 |
| 10-26 18:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $126.00 |
| 10-26 18:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $700.00 |
| 10-26 18:43 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.27 | $47.47 |