0xdcefb8ff1bceab2b7351b2f7a154129b149666b8
0xdcefb8ff1bceab2b7351b2f7a154129b149666b8
- Realised P&L
- $-12.81
- Volume
- $201.43
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $3.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.635 | $1.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.710 | $1.48 | +$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?
- +$1.60at 0.560Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.610S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.509999846 | $1.06 |
| 09-22 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:17 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 23:29 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 15:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 19:30 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998024 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 22:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 12:40 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 20:50 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 11:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 19? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 01:46 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 03:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 08-16 00:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |