d2600
0xdcef75dc9a8458c6e9ce3d5e5995210f9dc07388
- Realised P&L
- $-79.02
- Volume
- $1.97M
- Markets traded
- 2,945
- Open portfolio
- $22.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,945
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.971 | $22.79 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.00at 0.070Will the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with ≤2 dissents?
- +$84.90at 0.037Next US strike on Syria on December 19?
- +$61.38at 0.002Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
- +$52.60at 0.064Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$50.00at 0.002Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:38 | Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9795740975 | $23.00 |
| 05-14 10:37 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $23.85 |
| 01-11 02:35 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9709999706 | $23.69 |
| 01-11 02:28 | Will June Squibb be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 01-11 02:27 | Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.07 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Fogo launch a token by March 31 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.00 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.02 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.01 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will James Cameron be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.01 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | SELL | 0.0653538462 | $0.04 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Demon Slayer Kimetsu No Yaiba win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Francine Maisler (Sinners) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.01 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.118 | $0.13 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | SELL | 0.151 | $0.18 |
| 01-11 02:26 | Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.08 |