PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rspa

0xdceecdb83fcbcc37d381f90ad0c7516824e3bda5

Realised P&L
$-9.8k
Volume
$2.92M
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$902.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · Yes0.1550.300$277.01+$134.23
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2010.133$252.91−$131.15
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? · No0.7900.825$214.48+$9.10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$158.01−$1.10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$451.94
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$17.21
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.28
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.4900.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.28
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$11.47
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.28
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5770.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$5.28
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes0.5130.000$0.00−$29.71
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.4960.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:12Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$159.12
10-30 18:09Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?SELL0.7393954004$280.35
10-30 16:09Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?BUY0.775$49.60
10-30 13:20Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?BUY0.794$79.40
10-30 13:19Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?SELL0.51$129.73
10-30 13:18Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.198$2.04
10-30 13:18Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.198$11.98
10-30 13:18Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.191$3.47
10-30 13:17Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.184$1.84
10-30 13:17Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1801103203$20.24
10-30 13:17Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.18$18.00
10-29 19:46Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?BUY0.7346590441$142.64
10-29 19:46Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?BUY0.724$15.20
10-29 19:45Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.250928829$105.77
10-29 19:45Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.221$9.46