rspa
0xdceecdb83fcbcc37d381f90ad0c7516824e3bda5
- Realised P&L
- $-9.8k
- Volume
- $2.92M
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $902.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.726Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.849Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
- +$1.8kat 0.814Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.7kat 0.832Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
- +$1.6kat 0.184Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 18:12 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $159.12 |
| 10-30 18:09 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.7393954004 | $280.35 |
| 10-30 16:09 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.775 | $49.60 |
| 10-30 13:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.794 | $79.40 |
| 10-30 13:19 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $129.73 |
| 10-30 13:18 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.198 | $2.04 |
| 10-30 13:18 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.198 | $11.98 |
| 10-30 13:18 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.191 | $3.47 |
| 10-30 13:17 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.184 | $1.84 |
| 10-30 13:17 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1801103203 | $20.24 |
| 10-30 13:17 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |
| 10-29 19:46 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.7346590441 | $142.64 |
| 10-29 19:46 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.724 | $15.20 |
| 10-29 19:45 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.250928829 | $105.77 |
| 10-29 19:45 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.221 | $9.46 |