alkaka
0xdcea5f3cc6288b5ec5cd86d02f94b2e6f95a29cc
- Realised P&L
- $-63.78
- Volume
- $940.21
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $26.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.49at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$23.16at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$18.57at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$18.05at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$17.14at 0.655Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 19:26 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:24 | Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:23 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:33 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0970873786 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 10:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:51 | Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:46 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:44 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:43 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:42 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:40 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 09:40 | Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |