PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

alkaka

0xdcea5f3cc6288b5ec5cd86d02f94b2e6f95a29cc

Realised P&L
$-63.78
Volume
$940.21
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$26.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.2200.785$3.57+$2.57
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6790.875$2.58+$0.58
Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? · Yes0.4100.950$2.32+$1.32
Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? · Yes0.4900.993$2.03+$1.03
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C? · V0.5600.995$1.78+$0.78
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? · Yes0.5700.996$1.75+$0.75
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? · Yes0.6200.989$1.60+$0.60
Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.6200.984$1.59+$0.59
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? · Over0.6800.996$1.46+$0.46
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or MP? · V0.7500.998$1.33+$0.33
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C? · C0.8101.000$1.23+$0.23
Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? · Yes0.8721.000$1.15+$0.15
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.9001.000$1.11+$0.11
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? · Under0.9101.000$1.10+$0.10
Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD? · C0.9200.999$1.09+$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 19:26Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-13 19:24Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-13 19:23Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.9$1.00
09-13 17:33Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-13 10:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
09-13 10:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-13 10:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.0970873786$5.00
09-13 10:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?BUY0.95$1.00
09-13 09:51Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?BUY0.8499997025$1.00
09-13 09:46Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or C?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-13 09:44Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to C or KD?BUY0.92$1.00
09-13 09:43Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or C?BUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-13 09:42Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%?BUY0.91$1.00
09-13 09:40Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-13 09:40Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.2299999517$1.00