PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sgombro

0xdcea21b734b0e73d15614b55a932f7974e3aa91c

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$44.9k
Markets traded
285
Open portfolio
$497.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded285
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3430.566$494.33+$194.33
Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0600.055$2.75−$0.25
Will Greuther Furth win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.0800.001$0.02−$2.98
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5910.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.0170.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4430.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$17.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-08-30? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 14:44Will Greuther Furth win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.08$3.00
10-01 14:42Will Serbia win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.06$3.00
09-30 18:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSELL0.98$5.38
09-30 18:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETBUY0.91$5.00
09-26 15:32Will Estonia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.0699999994$5.00
09-26 15:20Will Plymouth Argyle FC vs. Burton Albion FC end in a draw?BUY0.4134615301$10.00
09-25 10:07Will Latvia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.219999999$30.00
09-23 15:43Azerbaijan vs. Tajikistan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-23 15:35Will Tajikistan win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-20 12:53Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7299999982$80.00
09-13 18:58Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4599999965$50.00
09-13 08:02Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.19$1.90
09-12 18:25Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.02$1.00
09-12 18:17Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?BUY0.7899999905$5.00
09-12 18:11Will Athletic Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?BUY0.63$2.24