0xdce967cdf8f2d98601cb6c26b2010320de229762
0xdce967cdf8f2d98601cb6c26b2010320de229762
- Realised P&L
- $-7.67
- Volume
- $240.25
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.875 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.795 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.740 | 0.615 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.585 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.355 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.200 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$3.84at 0.379Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:26 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:55 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:04 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:03 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:03 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:16 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:35 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.67 |
| 09-19 04:57 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 18:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:06 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999609 | $2.29 |