0xdcde90603353ee3b9a4dc615fd7c78c3dd99f21c
0xdcde90603353ee3b9a4dc615fd7c78c3dd99f21c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.94
- Volume
- $57.06
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.995 | $1.51 | +$0.51 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.550 | 0.595 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in August?
- +$0.56at 0.640US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.54at 0.650Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 00:51 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:11 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:09 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:31 | Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:35 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 11:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 08:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 07:01 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 10:40 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in August? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:33 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |