expertsquanderer
0xdcd67b818c3c7cdd90f12bed2c4c8cb91e195f91
- Realised P&L
- $-0.89
- Volume
- $8.38
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plovdiv 4: Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov · Petr Nesterov | 0.410 | 0.055 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
| Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas · Sofia Costoulas | 0.900 | 0.009 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| W50 Nanao: Mutsumi Uemura vs Chihiro Muramatsu · Chihiro Muramatsu | 0.870 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney · Braden Shick | 0.635 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.681Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo
- +$0.43at 0.701San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter
- +$0.14at 0.876San Diego 2: Dinko Dinev vs Dylan Dietrich
- +$0.09at 0.914Korea Open: Emerson Jones vs Yexin Ma
- +$0.09at 0.914M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Xing Dao Chen
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:08 | Plovdiv 4: Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:32 | Chengdu Open, Qualification: Lloyd Harris vs Kenta Miyoshi | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:28 | W50 Plovdiv: Ipek Oz vs Astrid Lew Yan Foon | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:27 | W50 Plovdiv: Caijsa Wilda Hennemann vs Denislava Glushkova | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:25 | M25 Yinchuan: Filip Peliwo vs Xing Dao Chen | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:23 | Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:21 | W50 Nanao: Mutsumi Uemura vs Chihiro Muramatsu | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 07:19 | Korea Open: Emerson Jones vs Yexin Ma | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:56 | San Diego 2: Keegan Smith vs Edward Winter | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:38 | Buenos Aires 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justo | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:18 | San Diego 2: Dinko Dinev vs Dylan Dietrich | SELL | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 09-21 22:17 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 22:01 | San Diego 2: Braden Shick vs Patrick Maloney | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 21:23 | San Diego 2: Dinko Dinev vs Dylan Dietrich | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |