0xdcd5b6aa43dd5347f601dd72dd18bae177f959a7
- Realised P&L
- $-288.09
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $13.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.027 | $13.63 | −$6.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.43at 0.191Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?
- +$11.55at 0.412Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$4.53at 0.021Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6PM ET
- +$4.46at 0.682Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$2.99at 0.271Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.19 |
| 09-14 01:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.3054960561 | $47.48 |
| 09-13 22:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.3046595768 | $55.58 |
| 09-13 19:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 11:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.0919999998 | $17.78 |
| 09-07 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.1797000411 | $32.95 |
| 09-02 18:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.1199999946 | $17.81 |
| 09-02 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.2099999341 | $1.88 |
| 08-20 20:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.10 |
| 08-20 07:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 21? | BUY | 0.0269999971 | $8.74 |
| 08-20 01:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $3.61 |
| 08-20 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $11.38 |
| 08-19 23:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-19 23:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7PM ET | SELL | 0.615200208 | $11.83 |
| 08-19 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.62 |