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Traders

alfonse3

0xdcd450646dc6470b505c3e84c3f5040f381ca0c1

Realised P&L
$-10.25
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$182.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 55%-60%? · No0.8250.779$38.95−$2.30
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 0%-3%? · No0.8370.621$31.05−$10.80
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? · No0.7000.705$15.51+$0.11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 55%-60%? · No0.8040.749$14.74−$1.08
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? · No0.4400.255$12.75−$9.25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%? · Yes0.2750.240$12.03−$1.73
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-22 House election by 25%-30%? · Yes0.2800.229$11.43−$2.58
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 20%-25%? · No0.7000.635$8.07−$0.83
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.4100.155$7.75−$12.75
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? · Yes0.9020.865$6.52−$0.28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-04 House election by 20%-25%? · Yes0.3230.130$6.50−$9.65
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.1950.118$5.92−$3.83
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8900.818$5.76−$0.51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 55% or more? · Yes0.1690.046$2.33−$6.13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 12%-15%? · Yes0.1120.042$2.08−$3.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 15:23Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.18$3.76
10-28 13:41Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?SELL0.832$41.60
10-26 02:03Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?SELL0.81$40.50
10-26 00:52Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?SELL0.81$29.17
10-26 00:51Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?SELL0.83$11.61
10-25 20:57Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?SELL0.59$29.50
10-23 17:18Will the Democrats win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$11.58
10-23 16:46Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-01 House election by 6%-9%?SELL0.884$4.46
10-22 15:49Will Margareta Dovgal win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?SELL0.5$4.34
10-22 10:22Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?SELL0.71$18.36
10-22 10:22Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?SELL0.72$17.38
10-21 09:14Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election?SELL0.47$9.40
10-21 08:01Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?SELL0.18$3.60
10-21 06:19Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?SELL0.27$1.42
10-21 03:37Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?SELL0.37$16.69