0xdCd3E420C1f28dd5CEDF171FAe2A0e41E64547b6-1770601538017
0xdcd3e420c1f28dd5cedf171fae2a0e41e64547b6
- Realised P&L
- $-13.3k
- Volume
- $401.2k
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.2kat 0.154Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$2.2kat 0.321Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$1.7kat 0.553Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?
- +$1.5kat 0.666Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 23:21 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0484734291 | $47.62 |
| 10-05 23:08 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0443065333 | $265.84 |
| 10-05 23:04 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $163.14 |
| 10-01 00:13 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $41.25 |
| 10-01 00:10 | Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1396726678 | $170.68 |
| 09-22 15:10 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.068170045 | $16.92 |
| 09-19 20:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $165.55 |
| 09-19 20:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $88.00 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0445852202 | $109.26 |
| 09-17 20:56 | Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0878639184 | $502.87 |
| 09-10 19:32 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.035 | $65.29 |
| 09-10 19:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.33 | $71.58 |
| 09-10 12:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999973 | $16.83 |
| 09-10 12:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.003 | $15.00 |
| 09-09 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |