0x0E4819495F5a2eD00d133cc91d184E2C8Ed650D6-1772259598883
0xdccb250d155c89f0cc0c06cafee2925ac16493ab
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $645.0k
- Markets traded
- 9,273
- Open portfolio
- $263.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,273
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes | 0.903 | 0.885 | $88.55 | −$1.79 |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.840 | 0.910 | $54.60 | +$4.20 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · No | 0.190 | 0.701 | $52.54 | +$38.29 |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.842 | $33.68 | +$16.80 |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? · No | 0.460 | 0.562 | $19.11 | +$3.47 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.250 | $10.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.270 | $5.40 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$274.05at 0.051Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$241.60at 0.016Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$194.07at 0.327XRP Up or Down - July 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$185.10at 0.541XRP Up or Down - July 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$170.87at 0.450XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 10-12 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-12 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-12 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $4.24 |
| 10-12 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $3.78 |
| 10-12 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-12 05:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $3.01 |
| 10-12 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $4.55 |
| 10-12 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $3.64 |
| 10-11 19:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 10-11 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $5.11 |
| 10-11 19:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $3.36 |
| 10-11 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 10-11 19:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $4.27 |
| 10-11 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | SELL | 0.5134875 | $4.11 |