jasongenova
0xdcb580a47cf98ec8a840a953ebbbb8eedb4ffc00
- Realised P&L
- $-69.85
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $22.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.13at 0.620Will Trump say "Ballroom" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$5.25at 0.630Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
- +$4.89at 0.644Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?
- +$4.83at 0.649Will Donald Trump's tie be another color on April 24, 2026?
- +$4.81at 0.650Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 14:05 | Will Atlanta Hawks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6999999845 | $8.85 |
| 04-26 13:02 | Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.6999999301 | $9.01 |
| 04-26 09:50 | Will Google say "CAPTCHA" or "reCAPTCHA" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7277867528 | $9.01 |
| 04-26 06:34 | Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week? | BUY | 0.6342458654 | $8.58 |
| 04-26 06:34 | Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.7399999933 | $8.66 |
| 04-26 00:24 | Will Leavitt say "Joe Biden" during the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.72 | $8.64 |
| 04-25 23:13 | Will Trump name "Gianni" or "Infantino" in April? | BUY | 0.7238586428 | $8.84 |
| 04-24 23:53 | Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.7096983385 | $8.73 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Will Minnesota Wild advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.7199999936 | $8.79 |
| 04-24 20:30 | Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27? | BUY | 0.7299999984 | $8.75 |
| 04-24 01:17 | Will Google say "Find the Look" or "Virtual Try-On" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7386864253 | $8.94 |
| 04-24 00:41 | Will Anaheim Ducks advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.779999993 | $8.82 |
| 04-24 00:41 | Will King Charles say "Freedom" 5+ times during the joint meeting of Congress? | BUY | 0.7899999929 | $8.94 |
| 04-23 13:57 | Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.7200608846 | $8.94 |
| 04-23 12:46 | Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY | 0.7739999339 | $8.94 |