0xDCb4fa0C35d1e917dC96d25B3bdEE7d4056c372a-1760695857976
0xdcb4fa0c35d1e917dc96d25b3bdee7d4056c372a
- Realised P&L
- $-142.18
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 640
- Open portfolio
- $1.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded640
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.860 | 0.860 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.63 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.19at 0.704Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$5.42at 0.736Will "Beast" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
- +$5.25at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
- +$4.65at 0.140Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
- +$3.34at 0.170Government shutdown on Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:22 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.859999985 | $1.15 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $1.10 |
| 09-16 02:20 | Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9099999338 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 16:46 | Will Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099996046 | $1.27 |
| 09-15 04:09 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.25 |
| 09-14 06:17 | Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9399999702 | $1.26 |
| 09-13 18:53 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 02:24 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999285 | $1.70 |
| 09-12 20:16 | Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 18:48 | Atalanta BC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 15:57 | SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 08:29 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 22:52 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 16:02 | Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 23:43 | Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |