vgarridof
0xdca1fab5261691cbe4fe39dae25afb70d7c9e3a9
- Realised P&L
- $-693.30
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $107.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.70at 0.437Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$132.67at 0.368Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$126.29at 0.692Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$96.53at 0.677Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$50.34at 0.667Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:02 | Will Antonio Martín del Campo win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | BUY | 0.4039408795 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:57 | Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | BUY | 0.1961328794 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6009999799 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:56 | Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? | BUY | 0.3676324346 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:55 | Will Andrea Chávez Treviño win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:55 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.24 | $15.00 |
| 09-29 15:54 | Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0893388917 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:54 | Will Mario Zamora Gastélum win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0822730043 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:52 | Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0941261038 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 20:41 | Will Rahm Emanuel be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | BUY | 0.0504483817 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0618320107 | $121.24 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.164 | $118.84 |
| 09-19 14:34 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.185 | $68.51 |
| 08-20 19:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.181999998 | $67.40 |
| 08-20 19:28 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0509999995 | $100.00 |