protocolduck
0xdc91305a1f999dd567f764f2c33cc4499cde5fb6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.49
- Volume
- $45.57
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $8.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.992 | 0.997 | $2.47 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.990 | $2.39 | −$0.01 |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.974 | 0.959 | $1.89 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? · No | 0.979 | 0.994 | $1.10 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.009 | $0.21 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.968Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?
- +$0.06at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?
- +$0.05at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?
- +$0.05at 0.971Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.04at 0.960Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9789999837 | $1.08 |
| 09-15 18:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0509999981 | $1.14 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9739999899 | $1.92 |
| 09-15 18:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $2.40 |
| 09-09 03:05 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.965999866 | $2.84 |
| 09-09 03:04 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.46 |
| 09-03 03:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9689999837 | $1.61 |
| 09-03 03:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9789999959 | $2.65 |
| 09-03 03:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.979 | $1.82 |
| 09-03 03:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.9789999961 | $2.79 |
| 08-28 13:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9869995965 | $2.15 |
| 08-28 13:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9569999962 | $1.01 |