cyberdrift
0xdc8d51a8d69e5b466adbf1a8f5fa6aa1a3329971
- Realised P&L
- $201.43
- Volume
- $142.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $380.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.002 | $149.99 | −$1.0k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.055 | $99.00 | −$188.99 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $70.15 | −$19.13 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.021 | $51.25 | −$98.75 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $10.00 | −$90.00 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.79at 0.883Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$60.00at 0.100Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$10.90at 0.820Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$10.00at 0.300Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$-8.10at 0.030Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 15:27 | Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.80 |
| 02-13 18:35 | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 12-21 17:03 | Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.883 | $1.8k |